Risky business
Another nerdilicious blogpost. This one is about a central part of the NHS England-led plan ‘Building the right support’ https://www.england.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/ld-nat-imp-plan-oct15.pdf , which is the latest Transforming Care reboot. ‘Building the right support’ makes the welcome point that reducing the number of people going into inpatient services will require much more extensive, earlier, and more useful community support. As part of this, the plan says that there are an estimated 24,000 people ‘at risk of being admitted to hospital without the right support’ (page 36). My understanding is that there is quite a lot of head-scratching around how to identify in practice who these 24,000 people are, and then to work out what services are needed to support them so that they don’t end up in inpatient services. Personally, I’m not convinced about this ‘risky cohort’ idea, and I think it might have some unhelpful unintended consequences. First, the 24,000 figure is extrapol...